https://arab.news/gg8gs
Major defeats are often born of major miscalculations. The 1967 war between Egypt, Syria, Jordan, and Israel; Sharon’s invasion of Beirut and the expulsion of Fatah (PLO) in 1982; Saddam Hussein’s invasion and occupation of Kuwait in 1990 despite the massive military buildup against him.
Nor should we forget the chain of consequences from the Oct. 7, 2023 attacks. Hezbollah assumed Israel would not fight on two fronts, an assumption that ended with its destruction and the elimination of senior Iranian military leaders.
These were not surprise wars. All were preceded by heightened tensions, repeated warnings, and visible military mobilizations.
Tehran is now reacting, cautiously, to unfolding developments. It has held two rounds of bilateral negotiations with the US. What has emerged publicly suggests that Iranian flexibility exists, but is limited. That is a positive sign, but it will not be enough to restrain the military armada poised for confrontation.
