What economists got wrong in 2025
Forecasts dwelled too much on Donald Trump’s threats and not enough on offsetting factors
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How economists lost traction
Experts are struggling in a less predictable world rife with simple and popular answers
Beware populist economics
History suggests the political approach ends in unsustainable debt and lower GDP
US economic outlook obscured by shutdown-triggered data gap
The statistical blind spot could affect everything from interest rate cuts to investment decisions
Economists warn of flaws in US inflation report
Concerns that November figures showing fall to 2.7% distorted by missing data after shutdown
Lessons from the 1920s and 30s on tariffs and markets
Investors today might be too complacent about the risks to earnings from slower growth and higher inflation
What the world got wrong about tariffs
No economy rises or falls for just one reason, even a shock as big as Trump’s trade policy