Beware populist economics
History suggests the political approach ends in unsustainable debt and lower GDP
History suggests the political approach ends in unsustainable debt and lower GDP

And the public private assets paradox

The sector remains untested in a severe or prolonged economic downturn

Investors today might be too complacent about the risks to earnings from slower growth and higher inflation

Governments should focus more on boosting supply and productivity

Given all this fragility, recessionary or inflationary shocks — or even both together — are conceivable

Forecasts dwelled too much on Donald Trump’s threats and not enough on offsetting factors