https://arab.news/mtab3
The 2028 US presidential election race is already beginning to unfold, even as most politicians remain focused on next year’s midterm elections, which, historically, tend not to favor the party that controls the White House. This creates two different paths within both parties. On one side, national figures are quietly laying the groundwork for future campaigns, building donor networks, testing messages and strengthening alliances. On the other, party committees, governors and strategists are concentrating on the immediate challenge of keeping or gaining control of Congress and key state governments. Together, these overlapping efforts reveal how American politics never truly stops — it simply shifts from one election cycle to the next.
History explains the split focus. Since 1938, the president’s party has lost seats in the US House of Representatives in 20 of 22 midterm elections. The rare exceptions, 1998 and 2002, came amid unusual circumstances. The president’s approval rating is a strong predictor of midterm losses. With Republicans holding narrow majorities under President Donald Trump, the 2026 midterms loom as a referendum that could end or extend his legislative window.
