The US president humiliated Ursula von der Leyen at his Scottish resort – but she still has no certainty on tariffs
S
urrender is always one way to end a war. The capitulation of the European Commission president, Ursula von der Leyen, to Donald Trump’s demands for a grossly lopsided trade deal in which most EU goods exported to the US will face far higher tariffs than US products face in the EU is not only humiliating; it also does not prevent a transatlantic trade war.
Indeed, to paraphrase the Prussian military thinker Carl von Clausewitz, it is merely the pursuit of a trade war by other means. After six months of bullying by Trump, the Europeans have acquiesced to a provisional settlement that penalises their exporters and commits the world’s largest trade bloc to buying hundreds of billions of dollars of US fossil fuels and weapons for the duration of his presidency, rather than risk the blanket 30% tariffs he had threatened from 1 August.
This was far from the zero-for-zero tariff deal that the European Commission pitched at the start of the talks. The 15% across-the-board tariff von der Leyen ended up accepting was worse than the 10% rate – similar to the UK’s deal – that Brussels officials thought they had secured only two weeks ago.













