Trump's greatest gamble: That a wounded Iran won't choose further escalation

Despite Trump's warning to Tehran not to retaliate against U.S. strikes on Iranian nuclear sites, the likelihood of escalation is high – and the consequences will be profound, not only for Trump's presidency but for Israel, too

The American strike on Iran's nuclear sites is the most important and consequential action taken by Donald Trump since his return to the White House six months ago. Unlike his tariffs on goods imported to the U.S., which were presented with great fanfare but were then gradually downsized, the bombardment of Iran was a case of Trump going 'all the way' – even against the advice of some of his closest and most prominent supporters and advisers.

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