Bitcoin traded back above $80,000 on Sept. 3 after Fed Governor Christopher Waller said he could support holding rates steady in September. Polymarket moved to 56% for no change, from 41% on Wednesday.

Polymarket prices a September quarter-point Fed hike at 55.5% after Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech, up from 28% Friday. Bitcoin holds $78,000, up 24.5% in August.

Bitcoin held above $77,000 through the Asian and European sessions and the U.S. open after ADP reported 38,000 August private jobs. Polymarket puts a September Fed increase at 59%.