India is preparing for an anticipated shortage of rainfall this September, likely affecting agricultural productivity and water availability. High temperatures are expected to persist across various regions. El Nino conditions remain robust, with expectations that they will continue to influence weather patterns for months to come, having historically hampered foodgrain yields. Furthermore, the situation is exacerbated by neutral Indian Ocean Dipole conditions, which do not provide any forthcoming rainfall enhancements.

India's inflation outlook hinges critically on September rainfall performance. A monsoon shortfall could push inflation to 5.5 percent or higher. Kharif sowing has recovered…

India's August rainfall registered sixteen percent below average, its lowest in three years. The El Nino weather pattern suppressed the monsoon, widening the rainfall deficit.…