Russian forces advance towards Druzhkivka, raising tensions. Entry into Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026 at 46.5% YES.

Kremlin claims Ukraine's defeat is near as Russian forces advance. Entry into Sloviansk by December 31, 2026 at 24.5% YES.

Russian drone attack hits an ammunition depot near Kyiv, lowering odds of Ukraine recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026 to 5.5% YES.