The global economy is weathering an oil shock better than feared. An investment boom in artificial intelligence is now a growth engine. Drawdowns of oil reserves and non-Gulf supply increases helped mitigate the energy shock. Risks remain tilted to the downside, with fiscal pressures and stalled disinflation causing worry. Developing nations face risks of falling behind in AI and commodity supply disruptions.

There is a “tug of war” between the negative Gulf energy supply shock and growth tailwinds from AI investment. Read more at straitstimes.com. Read more at straitstimes.com.

AI buildout helping offset energy supply headwinds, while Kristalina Georgieva warns of rising fiscal pressures

IMF Chief highlights global economic tug-of-war between oil shocks and AI growth, with risks remaining tilted to the downside.