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Fed's Musalem: Forward guidance strategic when rates near zero
Musalem highlights forward guidance as strategic near zero rates. Pause in Fed decisions by October 2026 at 59% YES.
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Timeline cronologica
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Fed's Musalem: Growth, capital competition shaping US bond market
Musalem highlights growth and capital competition shaping the U.S. bond market. Fed pause in next three decisions at 74% YES.
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St. Louis Fed's Musalem suggests immediate rate hike to curb future measures
Musalem suggests an immediate rate hike to prevent future measures. Rate hike by September 2026 at 27.5% YES; by October 2026 at 40.5% YES.
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Fed rate hikes seen as preventive measure against aggressive future actions
Fed hints at rate hikes to prevent future aggressive actions. Rate cut in next three meetings at 0.1% YES.
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Fed's Musalem: Forward guidance most effective when rates are at zero
Musalem states forward guidance is most effective at zero rates. No change in Fed rates after October 2026 at 71.5% YES.
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Fed's Musalem: Forward guidance strategic when rates near zero
Musalem highlights forward guidance as strategic near zero rates. Pause in Fed decisions by October 2026 at 59% YES.