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Fed rate hike expectations drop after weak retail sales, sentiment data
Retail sales and consumer sentiment data weaken rate hike expectations. Rate hike by September 2026 at 22.5% YES, October 2026 at 39.5% YES.
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Timeline cronologica
- ·
Fed likely to hold rates as market lowers September hike odds
Fed likely to hold rates steady as market lowers September hike odds. Rate hike by September at 31% YES.
- ·
US inflation eases in July, Fed rate hike unlikely in September
US inflation eases to 3.4% in July, signaling a likely Fed pause in September. Rate cut in next three meetings at 43.5% YES.
- ·
Emerging-market assets rally as US inflation data suggests Fed rate hike delay
Emerging-market assets rally as US inflation data suggests a delay in Fed rate hikes. Rate hike by September 2026 at 28% YES.
- ·
Fed rate hike expectations drop after weak retail sales, sentiment data
Retail sales and consumer sentiment data weaken rate hike expectations. Rate hike by September 2026 at 22.5% YES, October 2026 at 39.5% YES.