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Forecasts for $1 million bitcoin price likely look too ambitious, key ratio suggests

The thesis is that high yields on long-term U.S. Treasuries make non-yielding assets like bitcoin less attractive.

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coindesk.com

cryptobriefing.com

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AI · summaries

coindesk.comStai leggendo7 g fa

Forecasts for $1 million bitcoin price likely look too ambitious, key ratio suggests

Bitwise predicts $1.3M Bitcoin within a decade, but the BTC/30-year Treasury yield ratio broke below its 2021 peak despite $126k spot price—a cycle-first indicating momentum loss. At 5% (highest since 2007), 30-year Treasuries create material opportunity cost against non-yielding assets; rate cuts are required for million-dollar Bitcoin targets to materialize.

originale

cryptobriefing.com7 g fa

Forecasts for $1M Bitcoin price deemed too ambitious

ARK Invest, Bernstein, MicroStrategy project $1M Bitcoin (vs. $64k), requiring 17% of $121T store-of-value market. Skeptics note historical 80% crashes and forecast $300k–$500k by 2029; spot ETF inflows add institutional backing, though consensus remains conservative.

Timeline cronologica

giovedì 13 agosto 2026·coindesk.com
Forecasts for $1 million bitcoin price likely look too ambitious, key ratio suggests
The thesis is that high yields on long-term U.S. Treasuries make non-yielding assets like bitcoin less attractive.
giovedì 13 agosto 2026·cryptobriefing.com
Forecasts for $1M Bitcoin price deemed too ambitious
Analysts from ARK Invest to Bernstein have floated $1M Bitcoin targets, but the math requires Bitcoin to capture 17% of a $121T store-of-value