US not updating Israel on Iran talks amid sensitive negotiations. US-Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026 at 56% YES.

Iran confirms no current talks with the US amid heightened tensions. Final nuclear deal by August 31, 2026 at 4.6% YES.

US and Iran to hold indirect talks via mediators, deferring nuclear issues. Diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026 priced at 41% YES.