Trump warns Iran of severe consequences over nuclear commitments. Strait of Hormuz traffic normalizing by August 31 at 17.5% YES.

Trump says Iran deal on Strait of Hormuz is close, with talks resuming today. End of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026 at 58.5% YES.

Iran warns US warships over route changes in the Strait of Hormuz. Traffic normalization by August 31 at 13.5% YES.