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Conflicting indicators from the united states and Iran over the status of talks to end their five-month-old war boost uncertainty
US and Iran send mixed signals on peace talks, raising uncertainty. Next diplomatic meeting in UAE by September 30 at 0.2% YES.
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US seeks talks with Iran through existing channels amid ongoing tensions
US seeks talks with Iran amid tensions. Diplomatic meeting in UAE by September 30, 2026 at 1.1% YES; in Turkey at 2.0% YES; in Iraq at 0.8% YES.
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US and Iran closer to conflict than agreement, mediators warn
US and Iran are closer to conflict than agreement, with a comprehensive deal now less likely. Reconstruction funding in a 2026 deal at 28.5% YES.
