EY says the UK economy could outperform previous expectations this year but warns that a prolonged disruption to energy supplies caused by the Iran conflict could halt economic growth and drive inflation sharply higher.

The EY economic outlook cautions that GDP could slow to 0.5% this year and contract by 0.2% next year if the Strait of Hormuz remains shut into 2027.

Big Four consultancy EY has said that the UK economy could perform better than first expected this year if the Strait of Hormuz re-opens.

Britain's economy may shrink in 2027 if the Strait of Hormuz closure continues. Forecasters predict a 0.2% contraction if the waterway remains shut until mid-2027. This scenario…