Iran is pursuing a strategy of calibrated escalation to raise the economic and strategic costs for the US and its allies by threatening the Strait of Hormuz, key shipping lanes and energy infrastructure. Analysts say Tehran aims to strengthen its negotiating position, expand regional influence and force concessions without triggering a full-scale war, keeping global oil markets and trade on edge.

Iran mobilizes proxies to disrupt shipping. Strait of Hormuz traffic normal by August 31 at 6.5% YES, airspace closure by August 31 at 43% YES.

Iran escalates pressure on the US with missile strikes and threats. Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz normal by August 31 at 12.5% YES.

Iran is pursuing a strategy of calibrated escalation to raise the economic and strategic costs for the US and its allies by threatening the Strait of Hormuz, key shipping lanes…