Three Fed members dissent for a rate hike, the largest since 2016. Rate increase by October 2026 at 22.5% YES.

Fed meeting shows a one-in-three chance of a rate hike. Rate hike by September 2026 at 68.5% YES, by October 2026 at 73.5% YES, but only 20.6% for July 2026.

The Federal Reserve held rates steady, but three dissents exposed a rare policy split. Markets now see an 80% chance of a September rate hike.

Fed officials are divided on rate hikes. No change in rates after the October 2026 meeting at 68.5% YES.