FOMC holds rates steady at 3.50% to 3.75% with a hawkish outlook. Rate pause in next three meetings at 33.5% YES.

Fed meeting shows a one-in-three chance of a rate hike. Rate hike by September 2026 at 68.5% YES, by October 2026 at 73.5% YES, but only 20.6% for July 2026.

The Federal Reserve is expected to hold rates at 3.5%-3.75% at its July FOMC meeting, but Citadel is betting on a surprise hike that could rattle

Investors had largely expected that the Fed would hold interest rates steady, given ongoing concerns with high inflation.

Fed maintains rates at 3.50%-3.75% after FOMC meeting. Pause in rate changes by September at 34% YES.