Hezbollah launched a drone attack on an IDF vehicle in southern Lebanon, lowering the odds of Israel withdrawing by July 31, 2026 to 0.2% YES.

IDF shoots down a Hezbollah drone in southern Lebanon amid rising tensions. Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026 at 0.5% YES.

The Israeli military accused Hezbollah of a “blatant violation of the ceasefire” in Lebanon on Wednesday, saying the Iran-backed militant group had fired a