Sirens and unconfirmed explosions were reported at a U.S. base in Saudi Arabia. Iranian military action against a Gulf state by July 30 at 45% YES.

Saudi Arabia activated early warning systems in Dammam amid Iran tensions. Iranian military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 67.5% YES.

Iran strikes Gulf states as sirens sound in Bahrain. Military action against a Gulf state on July 30 at 44.5% YES.