Iran sends commanders and missile equipment to Yemen's Houthis. Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026, at 9.5% YES.

US conducts airstrikes in Iran as Houthis threaten Saudi shipping. Iranian regime falls by end of 2026 at 10.5% YES.

Houthis deploy missiles and drones in the Red Sea amid rising tensions. Military action against Israel by July 31, 2026, at 9.5% YES.

Iran flew Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps commanders, military advisers and missile- and drone-related equipment into Yemen earlier this month, sources reported to Reuters