Iran's IRGC warns Gulf state bases could be targets. Military action against a Gulf state by July 30 at 40.5% YES.

Iran targets U.S. defense facilities in Kuwait. Military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 53.5% YES.

Iran warns of strikes on US forces near its islands. Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31 at 1.8% YES, by August 31 at 7.0% YES.

IRGC strikes US radar and bases in Kuwait, signaling escalation. Military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 51% YES.

Iran strikes U.S. bases in Bahrain, Kuwait, and Jordan. Military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 51% YES.

Iran's IRGC vows to target U.S. and Israeli commanders in their homes. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 31.5% YES.

Iran's IRGC warns Gulf state bases could be targets. Military action against a Gulf state by July 30 at 40.5% YES.

Iran's IRGC claims strikes on Kuwaiti bases. Military action against a Gulf state by July 30 at 40.5% YES.

Iran's IRGC claims attacks on U.S. military positions in Kuwait. Military action against a Gulf state on July 23 at 83.5% YES.