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Polymarket and Kalshi Are 'Likely' Underestimating Odds of Crypto Bill Passage Due to Insider Trading Res
BitMine Immersion Technologies Inc. Chair Tom Lee said on Tuesday, July 21, that the Clarity Act has stronger passage odds than shown in prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi.
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news.bitcoin.com
Prediction Market Traders Turn Bearish on Clarity Act Becoming Law in 2026
Polymarket puts Clarity Act odds at 39% as Kalshi traders bet $3.1M on crypto market structure law timing.
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coindesk.com
Clarity odds jump to 43% on Polymarket after unverified reports Trump agreed to ethics deal
Bettors moved the crypto market structure bill to a 43% chance of passing this year, up from a record low last week, though the reports remain unconfirmed and no bill text has…
