Israel warns of a full response if Iran attacks amid rising tensions. Permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026 at 0.4% YES.

US plans to escalate military strikes on Iran, targeting economic infrastructure. Permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026 at 0.8% YES.

Israel vows strong retaliation after intercepting an Iranian missile. Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026 at 11.5% YES.