Bettors moved the crypto market structure bill to a 43% chance of passing this year, up from a record low last week, though the reports remain unconfirmed and no bill text has appeared.

Polymarket puts Clarity Act odds at 39% as Kalshi traders bet $3.1M on crypto market structure law timing.

CLARITY Act stalled due to unresolved ethics provision regarding Trump's crypto income. Act signed into law in 2026 at 30.5% YES.