Russian army strikes Ukraine's Odesa port. Ukraine recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 8.5% YES.

Ukrainian forces targeted two Russian oil tankers in the Black Sea. Russia entering Sloviansk by December 31, 2026 at 21% YES.

Ukrainian drones hit Russian oil depots and Crimea's power grid. Ukraine recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 9.5% YES.