An explosive-laden drone was intercepted near Iraq's Al-Harir Airbase. Iranian military action against a Gulf state by July 22 at 52.5% YES.

Iran's IRGC targets a US drone depot and AI center in Bahrain. Military action against a Gulf state on July 9 at 99.9% YES.

Jordanian army intercepts four drones amid regional tensions. Iranian military action against a Gulf state by July 22 at 52.5% YES.

A drone carrying explosives was downed near the U.S. consulate in Erbil, Iraq. Iran military action against a Gulf state by July 22 at 58.5% YES.

An explosive-laden drone was shot down near the US consulate in Erbil, Iraq, but crypto markets priced in less Iranian conflict risk after the incident.

Iranian drone strikes a graveyard in Erbil amid rising tensions. Military action against a Gulf state by July 22 at 59.5% YES.

Kuwait intercepted Iranian missiles and drones amid rising tensions. Iran military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 57% YES.

Iran downs a US MQ-9 Reaper drone over Ahvaz. Military action against a Gulf state by July 22 at 57% YES.

Iranian Army conducts drone strikes on US bases in Kuwait. Military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 56.5% YES.

Iran claims to have downed US drones and intercepted a missile, raising airspace closure odds. Full airspace closure by August 31 at 53% YES.

A U.S. soldier was killed in Iraq during a drone operation amid rising tensions. Iranian military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 56.5% YES.

Kuwait intercepted Iranian drones amid rising Gulf tensions. Iranian military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 63% YES.

An explosive-laden drone was intercepted near Iraq's Al-Harir Airbase. Iranian military action against a Gulf state by July 22 at 52.5% YES.

Iran intercepted an attack drone amid rising tensions with Israel. Military action against a Gulf state by July 22 at 62% YES.

Explosive drones were intercepted near the US consulate in Erbil amid rising tensions. Iranian military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 67.5% YES.

Kuwait intercepts Iranian drones amid rising Gulf tensions. Iranian military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 73.5% YES.

Iran shoots down a drone over Tehran amid rising tensions. Military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 67.5% YES.

Kuwaiti air defenses intercept Iranian drone threats amid rising tensions. Iranian military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 59% YES.

US C-RAM systems engage Iranian drones over Erbil amid rising tensions. Iranian military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 59% YES.