Iran claims to have downed US drones and intercepted a missile, raising airspace closure odds. Full airspace closure by August 31 at 53% YES.

Iran's IRGC targets a US drone depot and AI center in Bahrain. Military action against a Gulf state on July 9 at 99.9% YES.

Iran claims it shot down a US MQ-9 Reaper drone over Bushehr. Military action against a Gulf state on July 9 at 99.9% YES.

Iran's drones challenge U.S. military systems amid rising tensions. Military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 57% YES.

Iran downs a US MQ-9 Reaper drone over Ahvaz. Military action against a Gulf state by July 22 at 57% YES.

Iranian missiles evade US air defenses in strikes. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 37% YES, rising to 49.5% by August 31.

Iran intercepts a US cruise missile amid rising tensions. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 37.5% YES.

Iran claims to have downed US drones and intercepted a missile, raising airspace closure odds. Full airspace closure by August 31 at 53% YES.

Iran claims its air defenses have shot down another U.S. reconnaissance drone over southern Iran as fighting with the United States intensifies. Tehran said the unmanned aircraft…

Iran launches missiles at US targets, escalating tensions. Full airspace closure by August 31 at 57% YES.

Iran shoots down a drone amid rising tensions. Military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 58% YES.

Iran shoots down a US MQ-9 Reaper drone in Kermanshah. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 33.5% YES, by August 31 at 50.5% YES.

Iran launches missiles and drones targeting Gulf nations. Military action against a Gulf state by July 22 at 63.5% YES.

Iran uses drones and decoys in the Strait of Hormuz against U.S. operations. Military action against a Gulf state by July 22 at 50% YES.

IRGC claims it intercepted a U.S. missile over Kerman amid rising tensions. Full airspace closure by August 31 at 49.5% YES.