Iran claims responsibility for an attack on Al Udeid Air Base, raising military action odds against Gulf states to 62.5% YES by July 22.

Iran claims responsibility for drone attacks on U.S. sites in Kuwait. Military action against a Gulf state on July 9 at 99.9% YES.

Iran's IRGC targeted the US Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar, escalating the conflict. Military action against a Gulf state by July 9 at 99.9% YES.