US intensifies airstrikes on Iran after soldiers killed in Jordan. Iranian military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 60.5% YES.

US expands military strikes in response to Iranian attacks. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 25.5% YES, airspace closure by August 31 at 41% YES.

US strikes Iran for the seventh night amid rising tensions. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 28.5% YES, by August 31 at 44.5% YES, regime fall by 2026 at 10.