Bahrain intercepted an Iranian attack on the US Navy's 5th Fleet. Iranian military action against a Gulf state by July 22 at 57% YES.

Iran attacks Bahrain and Gulf allies after US airstrikes. Military action against a Gulf state on July 9 at 99.9% YES.

Iran attacks a U.S. airbase in Bahrain amid rising tensions. Military action against a Gulf state on July 9 at 99.9% YES.