A drone carrying explosives was downed near the U.S. consulate in Erbil, Iraq. Iran military action against a Gulf state by July 22 at 58.5% YES.

Drones were intercepted over Erbil amid rising tensions. Iran military action against a Gulf state on July 9 at 99.9% YES.

US Embassy warns citizens in Iraq after drone attack on Erbil. Iran military action against a Gulf state on July 9 at 99.9% YES.

US forces intercepted eight explosive drones targeting Erbil, Iraq. Iran military action against a Gulf state on July 9 at 99.9% YES.

A drone carrying explosives was downed near the U.S. consulate in Erbil, Iraq. Iran military action against a Gulf state by July 22 at 58.5% YES.

An explosive-laden drone was shot down near the US consulate in Erbil, Iraq, but crypto markets priced in less Iranian conflict risk after the incident.

Iranian drone strikes a graveyard in Erbil amid rising tensions. Military action against a Gulf state by July 22 at 59.5% YES.

Iran claims to have downed US drones and intercepted a missile, raising airspace closure odds. Full airspace closure by August 31 at 53% YES.

A U.S. soldier was killed in Iraq during a drone operation amid rising tensions. Iranian military action against a Gulf state on July 22 at 56.5% YES.