Iran claims responsibility for an attack on a US base in Jordan, raising military action odds against a Gulf state on July 22 to 57% YES.

Iran claims responsibility for strikes on U.S. bases in the Gulf. Military action against a Gulf state on July 9 at 99.9% YES.

Regional hostilities escalated to an unprecedented peak on Saturday after U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) confirmed the first American military fatalities caused by direct Iranian…