Iran warns Hormozgan residents to avoid travel due to attack fears. IAEA visit to nuclear sites by December 31 at 27.5% YES.

Iran urges Gulf nations to block external attacks amid rising tensions. Strait of Hormuz traffic normal by August 31 at 11.5% YES.

Iran warns Hormozgan residents to avoid travel due to attack fears. IAEA visit to nuclear sites by December 31 at 27.5% YES.

US air strikes hit Iran's Hormozgan province amid rising tensions. Iranian regime fall by end of 2026 at 10.5% YES, full airspace closure by July 31 at 31.5% YE.

Iran warns the Strait of Hormuz is unsafe for shipments due to U.S. military presence. Traffic normalization by August 31 at 13.5% YES.