US-Iran tensions escalate with military strikes. US-Iran deal including reconstruction funding in 2026 at 26.5% YES.

US-Iran conflict escalates after a tanker attack in the Strait of Hormuz. Traffic normalization by August 31 at 12.5% YES.

Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz, prompting US retaliatory strikes. Traffic normalization by August 31 at 11.5% YES.