Iran denies Trump's claim of a prisoner exchange. Final nuclear deal by August 13, 2026 priced at 1.6% YES.

Iran denies Trump's claim of talks in Oman. Next US-Iran meeting in UAE by September 30, 2026 at 1.1% YES.

Trump claims Iran is interested in a deal amid tensions. US-Iran deal by 2026 with reconstruction funding at 25% YES, uranium enrichment cap at 25.5% YES.