Iran warns of a disproportionate response to US strikes, leading to a drop in deal odds; reconstruction funding at 25.5% YES.

Iran warns neighbors of retaliation for US strike facilitation. IAEA visits to Iranian nuclear sites by December 31 at 26% YES.

Iran warns of a disproportionate response to US strikes, leading to a drop in deal odds; reconstruction funding at 25.5% YES.

Iran warns of retaliation against US strikes on its infrastructure. US-Iran deal in 2026 at 26% YES.

Iran warns of retaliation amid rising tensions with the US. Iran Reconstruction Funding in a US-Iran deal by 2026 at 26.5% YES.

Iran warns of stronger retaliation against US amid conflict escalation. US-Iran deal including reconstruction funding at 26.5% YES.

Iran hardliners face backlash as US strike costs rise. US-Iran deal with reconstruction funding in 2026 at 25.5% YES.