Iran shoots down a US MQ-1 drone in the Strait of Hormuz. Military action against a Gulf state on July 9 at 91.8% YES.

Iran shoots down a US drone over Bandar Abbas, escalating tensions. Military action against a Gulf state on July 9 at 65% YES.

Iran destroyed two US drones in the Strait of Hormuz. Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12 at 97.3% YES.