With Opportunity on the rise, new polling from RNZ shows the party's supporters are far more keen on a Labour-led government than a National-led one.

The latest model shows Labour will struggle to return to form a govt without Opportunity.

With Opportunity on the rise, new polling from RNZ shows the party's supporters are far more keen on a Labour-led government than a National-led one.

With Opportunity on the rise, new polling from RNZ shows the party's supporters are far more keen on a Labour-led government than a National-led one.

National dropped to 28.7%, its weakest result since November 2021.

The likelihood of re-electing the coalition had dropped to 62.2%.

Most voters remain unconvinced a new leader would help boost National or Labour's election chances, although support for a switch-up has grown over the past year.

More than half of those surveyed in the latest RNZ-Reid Research poll could be persuaded to vote for a different party, and it is Opportunity which could benefit most.