24 dead in Iran as US strikes escalate conflict with Israel. Iranian regime fall by September 30 at 3.2% YES.

Iran strikes US positions in the Middle East, escalating conflict. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 23% YES.

US strikes Iran in response to a Strait of Hormuz attack. No head of state in Iran by end of 2026 at 3.1% YES.

Iranian officer killed in US-Israeli strikes. Iranian regime fall by end of 2026 at 7.5% YES.

US military strikes on Abadan, Iran kill at least 2. Iranian regime fall by end of 2026 now at 8.5% YES.