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US escalates strikes on Iran after ceasefire collapse, faces logistical challenges
US escalates strikes on Iran after ceasefire collapse. War declaration by December 31, 2026 at 5.5% YES; US strikes on 8 countries in 2026 at 35.2% YES.
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Iran strikes US positions in Middle East, escalating conflict
Iran strikes US positions in the Middle East, escalating conflict. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 23% YES.
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Iran launches retaliatory strikes on Gulf states amid 2026 war escalation
Iran launches retaliatory strikes on Gulf states amid war escalation. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 31.5% YES.
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US launches third airstrike round on Iran amid escalating 2026 conflict
US launches third airstrike round on Iran, escalating conflict. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 23.5% YES.
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US strikes 140 Iranian targets after ship attack in Strait of Hormuz
US strikes 140 Iranian targets after a ship attack. US invasion of Iran before 2027 now at 17.5% YES.
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US CENTCOM completes third round of strikes on Iran
US CENTCOM completes third round of strikes on Iran. Blockade announcement by December 31 at 59% YES.
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US launches new strikes on Iran after it closes Strait of Hormuz
US launches new strikes on Iran after it closes the Strait of Hormuz. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 16.5% YES.
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US strikes Iran as Trump asserts Strait of Hormuz remains open
US conducts military strikes against Iran. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 16.5% YES.
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US strikes Bandar Abbas, Qeshm Island after ceasefire collapse in Iran War
US strikes Bandar Abbas and Qeshm Island after ceasefire collapse. Iranian regime fall by end of 2026 at 8.5% YES.
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US resumes military strikes on Iran amid Strait of Hormuz tensions
US resumes military strikes on Iran amid tensions. Nuclear deal by August 13, 2026 at 2.8% YES.
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Strait of Hormuz closure heightens US-Iran tensions amid energy crisis
US-Iran tensions rise as the Strait of Hormuz remains closed. War declaration by December 31, 2026 at 5.5% YES; US strikes on 8 countries in 2026 at 35.2% YES.
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US escalates strikes on Iran after ceasefire collapse, faces logistical challenges
US escalates strikes on Iran after ceasefire collapse. War declaration by December 31, 2026 at 5.5% YES; US strikes on 8 countries in 2026 at 35.2% YES.
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US-Iran tensions escalate as military strikes break June ceasefire
US-Iran tensions rise after military strikes end June ceasefire. Next diplomatic meeting in UAE by September 30, 2026 at 0.5% YES.
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US targets Iranian radar, air defenses amid 2026 conflict escalation
US military targets Iranian radar and air defenses amid conflict escalation. Full airspace closure in Iran by July 31 at 23.5% YES.
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Iran strikes US military assets in Middle East amid 2026 conflict escalation
Iran strikes U.S. military assets in the Middle East. Military action against a Gulf state on July 9, 2026, at 65.5% YES.
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Iran attacks US military assets in Qatar, Kuwait, Jordan amid 2026 conflict
Iran attacks U.S. military assets in Qatar, Kuwait, and Jordan. Nuclear deal by August 13, 2026 at 2.1% YES.
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Iran targets US bases amid escalating 2026 conflict
Iran targets US bases, escalating conflict. Nuclear deal by August 13, 2026 at 2.1% YES.
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US military conducts third night of airstrikes on Iran amid escalating conflict
US military conducts third night of airstrikes on Iran. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 35.5% YES.