US strikes Iran in response to a Strait of Hormuz attack. No head of state in Iran by end of 2026 at 3.1% YES.

US military strikes Iranian targets near the Strait of Hormuz. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 16.5% YES.

US strikes Iran in response to a Strait of Hormuz attack. No head of state in Iran by end of 2026 at 3.1% YES.

US strikes 140 Iranian targets after a ship attack. US invasion of Iran before 2027 now at 17.5% YES.

US launches new strikes on Iran after it closes the Strait of Hormuz. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 16.5% YES.

US conducts military strikes against Iran. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 16.5% YES.

US military strikes IRGC targets near Strait of Hormuz. Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12 at 93.2% YES.

US resumes military strikes on Iran amid tensions. Nuclear deal by August 13, 2026 at 2.8% YES.

US strikes Iran after attack on American base in Kuwait. Iran military action against a Gulf state on July 13, 2026 at 82% YES.

US strikes Iranian targets after Tehran closes the Strait of Hormuz. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 18.5% YES.

Trump orders more military strikes on Iran after attacks on ships. U.S. invasion of Iran before 2027 at 19.5% YES.