Iran vows defiance after Trump declares the nuclear deal dead. Reza Pahlavi entering Iran by December 31 at 5.5% YES.

Trump signals openness to a deal with Iran amid tensions. Funding in a U.S.-Iran deal by 2026 at 38.5% YES, uranium cap at 38.5% YES, enrichment moratorium at 2.

Indirect talks ended without public progress despite a 60-day ceasefire, as Tehran projects defiance after Khamenei’s funeral and Washington seeks to revive diplomacy

Trump warns of U.S. action against Iran if no deal is reached. Nuclear deal by August 13, 2026 at 3.1% YES.

Trump declares the ceasefire with Iran has ended. U.S.-Iran deal by July 31 at 1.9% YES.

Iran vows swift retaliation amid ongoing conflict. US-Iran reconstruction funding deal in 2026 at 29.5% YES.