US warns Iran of military response if Strait of Hormuz is closed. Traffic normalization by August 31 at 18.5% YES, Bab el-Mandeb closure by September 30 at 14.5.

Tankers reverse course from Hormuz amid US-Iran tensions. Closure of Bab el-Mandeb Strait by September 30 at 9% YES.

Iran shuts the Strait of Hormuz amid U.S. military buildup. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 20.5% YES.

Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz, escalating tensions. Traffic normal by August 31 at 18.5% YES.