US deploys largest naval force in Middle East since 2003. Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7 at 95.4% YES.

US-Iran tensions escalate with military actions in the Strait of Hormuz. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 14.5% YES.

US Navy deploys over 20 warships in the Middle East for regional security. Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30 at 13.5% YES.