US strikes kill 8 Iranian soldiers amid escalating conflict. No head of state in Iran by end of 2026 at 2.6% YES.

Iran vows dual revenge for Khamenei's assassination amid war escalation. No head of state in Iran by end of 2026 at 2.5% YES.

US strike hits Iranian drone station amid fragile ceasefire. Iranian regime fall by end of 2026 at 6.5% YES.

Iran's military warns of a 'crushing response' to U.S. attacks. U.S. invasion of Iran before 2027 at 14.5% YES.

Iran prepares to respond to potential US attacks amid rising tensions. US-Iran deal by 2026 at 30% YES, uranium cap at 32.5% YES, enrichment moratorium at 21% Y.

Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz and strikes US bases amid rising tensions. No head of state in Iran by end of 2026 at 2.5% YES.

US strikes Iran and revokes its oil export license after tanker attacks. Invasion of Iran before 2027 at 14.5% YES.

US military strikes target 80 Iranian assets, reducing the likelihood of a U.S.-Iran deal with reconstruction funding in 2026 to 30% YES.

The US has launched extensive military strikes on Iran in retaliation for attacks on commercial ships in the vital Strait of Hormuz, igniting a dangerous cycle of reprisals that…

Iran expands its target list to include U.S. allies. Targeting shipping on July 7 at 97.4% YES.

Iran warns U.S. military supporters are legitimate targets. Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7 at 96.3% YES.

US conducts retaliatory strikes on Iran after missile attacks. Invasion before 2027 now at 14.5% YES.

US conducts airstrikes on Iranian targets after Strait of Hormuz attacks. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 14.5% YES.

Trump signals renewed military actions against Iran amid 2026 war. No head of state in Iran by end of 2026 at 2.6% YES.

Iran vows swift retaliation amid ongoing conflict. US-Iran reconstruction funding deal in 2026 at 29.5% YES.

US strikes Iranian targets and threatens a naval blockade. Blockade announcement by December 31 at 44.5% YES.

US-Iran conflict escalates as ceasefire collapses. Reconstruction funding in a US-Iran deal at 29.5% YES.

US military strikes escalate tensions with Iran. Next diplomatic meeting in UAE by September 30, 2026 at 0.1% YES.

Eight Iranian soldiers were killed in US strikes, raising tensions. Iran full airspace closure by July 31 at 22% YES.

US strike kills 8 Iranian military personnel in southern Iran. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 22% YES.

US strikes kill 8 Iranian soldiers amid escalating conflict. No head of state in Iran by end of 2026 at 2.6% YES.