Ukraine escalates attacks on Russian ships in the Azov Sea. Recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 10.5% YES.

Ukrainian drones damaged Russian ports, targeting oil exports. Ukraine recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 11.5% YES.

Ukraine launched drone strikes on Russian refineries and ports, causing market odds for recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026 to drop to 11.5% YES.

Ukraine strikes a Russian oil tanker and Kerch terminal in Crimea. Recapturing Crimean territory by December 31, 2026 at 11.5% YES.

NATO supports Ukraine's intensified strikes on Russian infrastructure. Russia entering Sloviansk by December 31, 2026 at 22.5% YES.

Russia attacks Kyiv, revealing Ukraine's air defense gaps. Recapture of Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 10.5% YES; Russian entry into Sloviansk at 26.0% YES.

Russia escalates missile and drone strikes on Ukraine, killing 21 civilians. Russian advance into Sloviansk by December 31, 2026 at 26% YES.

Ukraine strikes eight Russian fuel tankers and 58 military targets in Crimea. Recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 10.5% YES.

Ukraine claims to eliminate 30,000 Russian soldiers monthly with drones. Ukraine recaptures Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 10.5% YES.

Over the course of the past two days, Ukrainian forces have attacked a total of 10 Russian tankers in the Sea of Azov. The ships were likely attempting to…

Ukraine launches over 430 drones at Moscow during Zelensky's NATO visit. Ukraine recaptures Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 10.5% YES.

Ukraine targets Russian energy infrastructure with drone strikes. Recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026, now at 10.5% YES.

Ukraine strikes Russian oil refineries in Tatarstan, escalating conflict. Russia entering Sloviansk by December 31, 2026 at 26.5% YES.

Ukraine strikes Russian refineries and tankers in a drone attack. Recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 10.5% YES.

Ukraine escalates attacks on Russian ships in the Azov Sea. Recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 10.5% YES.

By closing Russia’s Azov route to Crimea and battering refineries deep inside Russian territory, Ukraine’s drone campaign is forcing Moscow to rethink how it moves fuel and troops…