Ukraine strikes Russian oil refineries in Tatarstan, escalating conflict. Russia entering Sloviansk by December 31, 2026 at 26.5% YES.

Ukraine launched drone strikes on Russian refineries and ports, causing market odds for recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026 to drop to 11.5% YES.

Ukraine strikes a Russian oil tanker and Kerch terminal in Crimea. Recapturing Crimean territory by December 31, 2026 at 11.5% YES.

NATO supports Ukraine's intensified strikes on Russian infrastructure. Russia entering Sloviansk by December 31, 2026 at 22.5% YES.

Ukrainian drones struck the Omsk Oil Refinery, signaling a shift in military capabilities. Recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 10.5% YES.

Ukraine targets Russian energy infrastructure with drone strikes. Recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026, now at 10.5% YES.

Ukrainian deep strike (long-range) drone units from the Special Operations Forces struck two oil refineries in the city of Nizhnekamsk, Russia's Republic of Tatarstan, on the…

The Special Operations Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine struck two oil refineries in Nizhnekamsk (Republic of Tatarstan, Russian Federation). — Ukrinform.

Ukraine strikes an oil pumping hub in Russia's Bashkortostan region. Russia entering Sloviansk by December 31, 2026 at 26.5% YES.

Ukraine strikes Russian oil refineries in Tatarstan, escalating conflict. Russia entering Sloviansk by December 31, 2026 at 26.5% YES.

Ukraine strikes Russian refineries and tankers in a drone attack. Recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 10.5% YES.

Ukraine hit three Russian refineries and tankers overnight in a drone campaign, with nearly 200 refinery strikes in 2026 pressuring oil markets and risk